Liverpool returns to Anfield needing to overcome a 3-1 deficit when it faces Real Madrid on Wednesday in the second leg of their 2021 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal matchup. Liverpool has struggled with injuries after winning the Premier League last season and sits sixth in the EPL table, 22 points behind leader Manchester City. The Reds beat Aston Villa 2-1 on Saturday to snap a six-game home slide. Real Madrid, meanwhile, is just one point out of first place in La Liga and has its eye on a second straight title after beating Barcelona 2-1 in El Clasico on Saturday.
Kickoff from Liverpool, England is set for 3 p.m. ET. Liverpool is a 0.5-goal and +100 money-line favorite in the latest Real Madrid vs. Liverpool odds at William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under for total goals scored is 3.5. Before you lock in your Liverpool vs. Real Madrid picks, be sure to see the UEFA Champions League predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proprietary European soccer model.
Craving even more coverage of the world’s game? Listen below and follow ¡Qué Golazo! A Daily CBS Soccer Podcast where we take you beyond the pitch and around the globe for commentary, previews, recaps and more.
Created by two Norwegians — professional poker player and sports bettor Jonas Gjelstad, and economics and engineering expert Marius Norheim — the model analyzes worldwide betting data and exploits market inefficiencies, helping its followers cash in. Since coming to SportsLine in 2019, the algorithm is up over $8,200.
Now, the model has set its sights on Liverpool vs. Real Madrid. You can visit SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several odds and trends for Real Madrid vs. Liverpool:
- Real Madrid vs. Liverpool spread: Liverpool -0.5
- Real Madrid vs. Liverpool over-under: 3.5 goals
- Real Madrid vs. Liverpool money line: Real Madrid +245, Liverpool +100, Draw +285
- RMA: Real Madrid has allowed just 18 corner kicks while taking 56, both second in the UCL
- LIV: Trent Alexander-Arnold leads the EPL in progressive passes (240) and crosses (147)
Why you should back Liverpool
The Reds will be desperate to close the gap, and they have firepower up front to score quickly. Mohamed Salah is the top option, sharing the Premier League lead with 19 goals, and he has six in nine Champions League matches. The Egyptian teams up with Sadio Mane and Diogo Jota to form a potent trio. Jota has 12 goals between the two competitions, while Mane has 10 and shares the team lead in league play with five assists.
Striker Roberto Firmino often has a heavy hand in the action up front as well, and he has six goals and five assists in the Premier League this season. He has been quiet in the UCL and is due to break out. Ozan Kabak was brought in to join Nathaniel Phillips as the center backs, and both are quality defenders learning to complement each other. Reds goalkeeper Alisson was named FIFA’s best in 2019 and has four clean sheets in his six Champions League starts. Liverpool has allowed just six goals in nine UCL matches, third-fewest in the competition.
Why you should back Real Madrid
Los Blancos are peaking at the right time, just as they did last season in surging to the La Liga title. They have not lost in their last 13 games and come in brimming with confidence. The 3-1 home win against Liverpool was followed by a critical win against rival Barcelona, and Karim Benzema and Toni Kroos are in fine form. Real Madrid has tons of experience, with Casemiro and Luka Modric joining those two to form the core, but young players like Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo and Federico Valverde also play big roles.
Kroos led the devastating counter-attack in the first leg, as Los Blancos allowed Liverpool to control for 54 percent of the game but outshot them 16-7. Vinicius scored twice, and Marco Asensio also tallied as Modric and Kroos each had assists. Benzema scored against Barcelona, and he is tied for second in La Liga with 19 goals and has six in Champions League play.
How to make picks for Real Madrid vs. Liverpool
The model is leaning under on the goal total, and it also has locked in a strong money-line pick for Liverpool vs. Real Madrid. You can only get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Liverpool vs. Real Madrid? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Real Madrid vs. Liverpool money line has all the value, all from the proprietary European soccer model that’s up over $8,200.